Saturday, May 25, 2013

The Problem of Safe Water - The Lernaean Hydra?

Could Greek mythology's water serpent, the Lernaean Hydra, be is an excellent model to define our problem of Safe water aka freshwater?
The Lernaean Hydra
Lernaean Hydra
Source - eaudrey.com
The Hydra was the guardian of the Underworld and lived beneath the waters of a lake, the Lake of Lerna. It was shaped like a serpent with its heads its unique feature: It had multiple heads and would grow two heads for every one head that was cut off. One of the Hydra's heads was called the Immortal Head because it could not be cut off.
Heraces
(silver sculpture from the 1530s)
Source - wikipedia.org
Heracles (Hercules, to us) was charged with the task to kill the Hydra. He initially tried cutting off individual heads but saw two new heads replace those he chopped off.
Eventually he did figure out a way to kill the Hydra. Maybe, Heracles' solution shows us the way to solve the problem of safe water - more on this in the next blog post.
Constant Amount of Freshwater Precipitation 
Precipitation in rain, snow and other forms is the only act of nature that makes safe drinking water (aka freshwater) a renewable resource.
Annual Precipitation
Source - http://hypertextbook.com/facts/2008/VernonWu.shtml
The aggregate global annual freshwater precipitation has stayed more-or-less constant over time - it has never changed in an amount that might give us reason to classify freshwater as a nonrenewable resource! 
Variability in annual amount is not significant by any measure.
Whatever action humanity may take, this cycle of aggregate precipitation continues unabated. So there would conceivably not be a water problem at all unless we are missing something
India precipitation change
Source - delayedoccilater.wordpress.com
Changing precipitation patterns
Change in US precipitation
Source - meted.ucar.edu
Change in Africa precipitation
Source - scrippsblogs.ucsd.edu
This missing something is variability in local rainfall, snowfall and other deposits of freshwater i.e. the variability in aggregate precipitation at any single location. 
The problem of safe water is, thus, characterized in the changes that surface when we examine local changes in precipitation patterns.
How is the Problem of Freshwater a Hydra?
Our global precipitation amount is the body of the Hydra that doesn't change while the heads are the local problems that are as many as places where people live and work - a new factory needs additional safe water but may end up polluting a local stream from where we used to get freshwater; a city grows in population that requires the city fathers to build a new aqueduct to transport safe water from hundreds of miles away; simply look at any local community for its future vulnerabilities to its existing safe water supplies!
Like the Hydra of Heracles, our Hydra of freshwater supply grows a new head - usually too many multiple new heads - whenever local precipitation levels change beyond humanity's ability to counter that change with a compensating change in demand.
The Challenge of Safe Water
Humanity's ability to cope at the local level with the variability of nature's continuously renewed safe water supply is our primary challenge that can rip apart the foundations of our societies everywhere in the world, once again, in the 21st century.

Saturday, May 4, 2013

The Darker a Cloud the Stronger the Rain!

We all know from experience that the darker a cloud the stronger the rainstorm it will produce. 
Cloud Color and Rain Amount
Dark Clouds
Source - wallpapersget.com
From experience we know that there is a very strong correlation between the color of a cloud and the amount of rain it produces:
- the darker a cloud, the more rain we expect to get
or,
- the lighter (with the lightest being the whitest) a cloud the less rain likely.
Particulate Density
All clouds contain particles.
Light Scattered by Particles
Source - http://www.cas.manchester.ac.uk
When sunlight passes through a cloud it gets scattered by these particles.
The more light scattered the less light emerges from the bottom of the cloud - the bottom is what we see and use to describe the cloud as a dark one or a light one.
Light scattered by a cloud
Source - tutorvista.com
Water Droplets and/or Ice Crystals
In addition to particles, clouds contain water droplets and/or ice crystals. These droplets and crystals also disperse the sunlight that falls on the cloud from above. As the density of these droplets and crystals increases, less and less sunlight is able to penetrate the cloud. This lack of penetrations darkens the color of the cloud.
So what we know from experience is true: The darker a cloud, the stronger the rain falling from it because it contains more water droplets and ice crystals